My goal is to give you some tips on how to beat the odds over the average person in your pool. Picking only the higher seeds is not going to make a hill of beans by the championship game, picking a lot of upsets is very risky and usually doesn't pay off, so hopefully you'll do better in this years office pool. I've analyzed the winning pick sheets and here are a few tips and trends I've noticed through the years of my winners. I'll post more helpful tips in the next week and a half to give you some success for this years office pool.
- Pick all of the number 1 seeds to win their first round games. Since 1985, all number 1 seeds have won their games over the number 16 seeds 100% of the time.
- Don't pick a number 1 seed to be one of the last four teams, let along the national title, if the school wasn't in the playoffs the previous year.
- Pick at least one number 2 seed to lose before the second round games complete.
- Don't pick more than two of the four number 1 regional seeds to reach the final weekend of games when only four teams remain in the tournament.
- Pick at one number 3 seed team to lose in the first round of games.
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